South African rand steady as investors brace for inflation data, rate decision

The South African rand was steady in early trade on Monday as investors ​awaited this week’s inflation data and the ‌central bank’s policy decision for fresh clues on the interest rate outlook in Africa’s most industrialised economy. 

At 0634 ​GMT, the rand traded at 16.2375 against ​the dollar , a whisker away from its ⁠previous close.

Traders are focused on August consumer ​inflation data and the South African Reserve Bank’s ​policy decision, both due on Wednesday.

Headline inflationcooled to 4.3% year-on-year in July, the first fall in five months.

The central ​bank is widely expected to raise its ​main lending rate on Wednesday after surprising investors and economists ‌by ⁠leaving it unchanged at its previous meeting, saying policy was restrictive enough to return inflation to target within two years.

“Expectations are rising that the SARB ​will follow ​the Fed, ⁠ECB and BOJ in hiking rates. Not doing so could undermine the ​rand’s resilience and exaggerate the negative ​inflation ⁠impact that buoyant oil prices will have on inflation and broader monetary policy,” ETM Analytics said ⁠in ​a note.

South Africa’s benchmark 2035 ​government bond was steady in early trade, with the yield at ​8.685%.

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